Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 180.277906 215.244643 258.677454 317.906746 398.779537 508.935531 677.334914
2024-12-29 140.386788 182.296809 241.648584 336.787642 496.712170 781.652483 1416.561730
2025-01-05 112.885328 153.231109 214.618798 322.854665 531.013524 982.964166 2395.891858
2025-01-12 98.327165 138.292584 202.786143 326.227053 595.106513 1310.884678 4754.851139
2025-01-19 86.249413 124.367095 188.522825 319.059089 632.829027 1631.656828 9443.605883
2025-01-26 82.438585 122.821883 194.722044 354.008530 797.268053 2706.530251 57997.342605
2025-02-02 81.344500 125.484519 209.036529 413.092190 1095.220265 5772.258914 NaN
2025-02-09 74.579910 116.886304 199.271361 410.160452 1185.644533 8342.266401 NaN
2025-02-16 69.774303 111.177666 194.255091 418.040964 1335.963978 14114.780266 NaN
2025-02-23 65.768267 106.411556 190.284429 427.586027 1515.988196 27506.289915 NaN
2025-03-02 62.637171 102.914348 188.431895 443.104860 1765.613161 76096.815064 NaN
2025-03-09 59.254043 98.498065 183.661701 447.711089 1969.026946 281026.372654 NaN
2025-03-16 54.044617 90.364449 170.054352 422.287816 1958.575625 844012.037058 NaN
2025-03-23 51.912807 88.374160 171.157133 450.975152 2509.378807 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 47.907680 81.993456 160.181752 429.864476 2540.901915 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 45.429482 78.576151 156.174996 434.959418 2925.237573 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 42.644745 74.208647 148.979662 424.142672 3093.479873 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 42.253355 74.989591 155.597899 477.314362 4727.096622 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 42.653610 77.577507 167.896801 569.612970 9416.409879 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 40.565954 74.217810 162.297005 564.963397 10916.733344 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 39.036059 72.016333 159.818523 577.477711 14337.308757 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 37.677655 70.088885 157.859659 592.704481 19770.674068 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 36.584206 68.690234 157.325349 617.621449 30958.038532 NaN NaN